REASONS FOR INVESTING IN 2011
REASONS FOR INVESTING IN 2011
- Projected GDP growth of around 7% for 2011 with exports, manufacturing and industrial production leading the growth.
- Business Expectation Index of 50.6% is the highest since 2001.
- Increasing investors’ confidence.
- Consumer confidence has been increasing since 2008.
- Net New Jobs on the upswing.
- Higher profit margins for listed companies.
- Increasing OFW remittance.
- Stronger peso.
- Interest rates will remain low.
- Inflation expected to be benign at AROUND 3% and the budget deficit will be controlled.
OUTLOOK ON LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATIORS:
- Exports to grow by around 13% to 15%
- China will slowdown a bit (minor) but our local domestic demand will be robust
- Local monetary policy will be on hold so interest rates will remain low
- GDP growth of approximately 6.7% to 7.3%
THE STOCK MARKET
- Prices are relatively still cheap with Price Earnings Ratios ranging from 12 to 15
- Earnings Per Share of listed stocks are trending higher
- PSEI is outperforming the DOW (based on S&P BMI Index)
- PSEi Forecast for 2011: 5,000
